The Air Force Falcons (1-0) host an MWC clash against the San Jose State Spartans (1-0) on Saturday, September 7, 2024 at Falcon Stadium. The game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network, starting at 7:00 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around Air Force vs. San Jose State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Falcons played the Merrimack Warriors in their last outing, winning 21-6. Their last time out, the Spartans won 42-24 over the Sacramento State Hornets. John Busha threw for 71 yards, with no touchdowns and no interceptions on 6-of-14 passing (42.9%) for the Falcons in that matchup against the Warriors. He also added nine carries for 37 yards. Owen Allen ran for 63 yards on 16 carries (3.9 yards per carry). James Roberson had 21 yards on one catch (21.0 per reception) in that game. Emmett Brown’s showing for the Spartans against the Hornets included 20-of-34 passing for 298 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Floyd Chalk IV carried the ball 18 times for 87 yards (4.8 yards per attempt) with two touchdowns. In the passing game, he added one catch for 17 yards. Nick Nash picked up 170 yards through the air after 10 catches (on 16 targets), with two touchdowns.
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Air Force vs. San Jose State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:37 a.m..
- Moneyline (ML): Air Force -168 (Bet $168 to win $100) | San Jose State +140 (Bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force -3.5 (-110) | San Jose State +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -109)
How to make Air Force vs. San Jose State picks
Prediction
Air Force 28, San Jose State 24
Moneyline
- Moneyline pick: Air Force -168
- Air Force was the moneyline favorite 10 total times last season. They went 7-3 in those games.
- The Falcons had a record of 6-2 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -168 or shorter last year (75%).
- Last season, San Jose State was the underdog six times and won one of those games.
- The Spartans did not win as an underdog of +140 or more on the moneyline last season in five games with those odds or longer.
Against the spread
- ATS pick: Air Force -3.5
- The Falcons put together a 5-5-1 ATS record last year.
- Air Force had an ATS record of 4-3-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites last season.
- The Spartans won seven games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing five times.
- San Jose State covered the spread twice last season (2-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
Over/Under
- O/U pick: Over 44.5 points
- The Falcons and their opponents went over 44.5 combined points in seven of 13 games last season.
- The Spartans played eight games last season that went over 44.5 combined points scored.
- The teams combined to score 59.6 points per game last season, 15.1 more points than the total for this matchup.
- Combined, these teams surrendered 43.8 points per contest last year, 0.7 fewer points than the total for this game.
- The Falcons had an average total of 42.7 in their matchups last season, 1.8 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
- Spartans contests last year had a 55.4-point average over/under, 10.9 more points than this game’s point total.
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